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Life Insurers Continue To Face Challenging Environment, Enhanced Regulation In 2010 (Ernst & Young)

The US life insurance industry will likely face an extended period of weak earnings, slow growth and greater regulatory oversight as the economy slowly recovers from the financial crisis, according to Ernst & Young’s Global Insurance Center 2010 U.S. Outlook for the life insurance industry.

Many insurers are confronting these issues with a “back-to-basics” strategy, but that may be shortsighted, according to Doug French, Principal, Financial Services and Insurance & Actuarial Advisory Services Leader at Ernst & Young LLP (US). “That thinking may be helping insurers survive,” French said, “but to become profitable again and achieve growth, insurance executives are going to have to become more innovative and proactive to change the way they conduct business.”

Ernst & Young has identified five key areas for companies to focus on in 2010.

Fitch: Outlook Negative For Life Insurers

The rating outlook for the U.S. life insurance sector will remain negative based on a combination of economic and operating pressures unlikely to abate in 2010, according to Fitch Ratings.

Moody's: Life Insurers' 4Q09 Financials Stronger A Year Later

In general, quarterly operating earnings of U.S. life insurers have been stabilizing or improving during 2009, and -- despite some variability -- the fourth quarter affirmed that trend, Moody's Investors Service says in a new report.

2010 European Insurance Outlook (Ernst & Young)

Although insurers fared better than the banks during the global  nancial crisis and resulting recession, premiums for 2008 declined by 6% to just under €1,060b with no improvement in 2009. Overall, life insurance companies fared better from the crisis than banks; however, they were shaken by investment losses, as were their customers with market-linked products. General insurance companies suffered from capital base erosion and by the continuation of soft rates. European Union (EU) insurers’ efforts to rebuild capital may be complicated in 2010 by a changing accounting and regulatory environment and the impending implementation of Solvency II, with many commentators forecasting a need to increase capital levels.

A.M. Best Special Report: Life/Health Investments Mixed Signals: Has the Economy Begun Its Recovery?

A.M. Best Co. has issued a special report outlining its views on the investment environment for U.S. life/health insurers titled, “Mixed Signals: Has the Economy Begun Its Recovery?” A.M. Best believes that, despite signs of economic recovery, financial institutions’ loan portfolios have yet to generate the full measure of expected losses, and that same potential holds true for U.S. life/health companies.

Deloitte: 2009 Life Insurance Operations Book of Metrics

This report, summarizing results from Deloitte's latest Life Insurance Operations Benchmarking Study, provides insight in areas critical to insurance executives, including:

* Marketing, product and distribution
* New business
* Customer service
* Information technology
* Corporate overhead

Ernst & Young: US Life Insurance Industry Outlook

2010 will be difficult for life insurers as the US economy slowly recovers from the aftermath of financial events. Lagging employment with falling aggregate wages, tight credit, weakened residential and commercial real estate and a behavioral shift on the part of consumers from consumption to savings are factors contributing to a delayed economic recovery. The US life-annuity insurance industry will likely face an extended period of weak earnings, slow growth and greater regulatory oversight.

Many insurers are reacting to these challenges by following a “back-to-basics” strategy. This approach may help life insurers weather the storm, but just hunkering down may not be enough to succeed. Regaining profitability and growing the business within the current economy will require creative, pro-active steps to improve strategy and execution.

Swiss insurers call for simpler solvency regulation

Switzerland's insurers need local regulation to be harmonised with international standards and improved access to European Union markets to boost growth, executives said in November.

BestWeek: As Impairments Rise by at Least 30%, D&O Insurers Feel the Pain

An exclusive BestWeek story reports that impairments for both life/health and property/casualty writers are up by at least 30%, compared with 2008. At least 20 insurers became impaired this year, up from 15 in 2008 and 14 in 2007. And though the pain is widespread, it’s especially felt by a company’s directors and officers insurers, which pay for defense costs, as well as any settlements that arise from lawsuits, BestWeek U.S./Canada reports.

LOMA Sees Signs Of Hope

Most of the executives who participated in a survey predicted that 2010 sales, premiums and profitability will be about the same as in 2009 or a little higher, LOMA says.

As Impairments Rise by at Least 30%, D&O Insurers Feel the Pain (BestWeek)

An exclusive BestWeek story reports that impairments for both life/health and property/casualty writers are up by at least 30%, compared with 2008. At least 20 insurers became impaired this year, up from 15 in 2008 and 14 in 2007. And though the pain is widespread, it’s especially felt by a company’s directors and officers insurers, which pay for defense costs, as well as any settlements that arise from lawsuits, BestWeek U.S./Canada reports.

Bank Life Sales Soar

U.S. banks sold 32% more life insurance during the first 3 quarters of 2009 than they did during the comparable period in 2008, according to Kehrer-LIMRA.

Kehrer-LIMRA, Windsor, Conn., has published percentage change figures, not figures on the total volume of life insurance products sold. Bank life sales account for just a portion of all U.S. life sales.

But the growth rate for life sales at banks far outpaced the life sales growth rate for the U.S. life insurance industry as a whole, Kehrer-LIMRA reports.

Positioning the Industry for Success

Transamerica Reinsurance President Paul Rutledge recently spoke with Fred Sievert, former president of New York Life and current chairman of the Actuarial Foundation, about the demanding issues facing life insurers since the onset of the financial crisis. Fred shares his view that a number of life insurers, in search of continued growth, became too comfortable with optimistic investment gains subsidizing increasingly risky business. When the financial markets began failing, the weaknesses of this dependency were exposed.

Life insurers continue to face challenging environment, enhanced regulation in 2010: Ernst and Young

The US life insurance industry will likely face an extended period of weak earnings, slow growth and greater regulatory oversight as the economy slowly recovers from the financial crisis, according to Ernst & Young’s Global Insurance Center 2010 U.S. Outlook for the life insurance industry.

Life Insurers Cushioned on Commercial Real Estate

U.S. life insurers could post commercial real estate losses of up to $11 billion over the next three years, but will not be hit as badly as banks and other investors, Moody's Investors Service says.

Market Outlook 2010 (Milliman)

At the beginning of every year, Financier Worldwide gathers opinions from corporate advisory leaders to explore their insights into current and emerging trends. In his comments, Milliman principal and consultant Neil Cantle discusses the importance for boards of directors to properly challenge and support executive teams in the implementation of their strategies. On the one hand boards are required to bring "independence," and yet on the other hand they need to know sufficient detail of the daily operations that they can provide robust challenge and active support.

Swiss Re predicts a continued but fragile global economic recovery in 2010

Swiss Re’s economists predict that insurance and reinsurance will continue their recoveries in 2010, based on the assumption of a “U-shaped” recovery. Balance sheets will further strengthen and profits will increase. Growth will be positive but quite sluggish both in life and non-life insurance. This outlook could be muted by looming regulatory challenges, along with the trend for higher claims for catastrophic events, increasingly driven by climate change.

Life-Annuity Sector Seeing Some Success

The life insurance industry is still working through capital losses and capital constraints resulting from the 2008 financial crisis with some success, according to a new study by Conning Research and Consulting, Hartford, Conn.

Swiss Re: Updated data appendix of the world insurance sigma 3/2009

Swiss Re has updated the data appendix of its World Insurance 2008 Sigma report released earlier this year to incorporate the latest available data.

The main findings of the sigma have been confirmed.

The global life and non-life insurance premium volume for 2008 has been revised. The large revision is mainly due to the UK life sector. For the rest of the regions the changes are described as minor.

Swiss Re: US Life Quarterly (October 2009)

The L&H industry performance improved in Q2 2009 but key weaknesses remain.

Moody's: Rating Outlook For US Healthcare Insurers Remains Negative

There will be downward pressure on the ratings of US healthcare insurers as a result of political and economic uncertainties, according to a new report by Moody's Investors Service. However, the rating agency believes that the larger and more diversified insurers are better positioned, both financially and strategically, to meet these challenges.

New York To Insurers: Tell Us How You Really Did - Regulatory, Legislative and Tax Issues

The New York State Insurance Department is ordering life insurers in the state to adjust assumptions about investment portfolio calls, prepayments and defaults to reflect the true state of the economy.

Guy Carpenter Fifth Annual Specialty Insurance Program Issuing Carrier Marketplace

Guy Carpenter's Fifth Annual Specialty Program Issuing Carrier Survey finds the Program Administrators and Managing General Agents (PA/MGA) market has remained remarkably consistent from 2008 to 2009, despite the outbreak of the worst financial crisis in more than 70 years. While the number of respondents perceiving market growth has declined since last year, the outlook remains quite upbeat, especially given the year's tumultuous market conditions.

Swiss Re: Term Life Rates Must Rise

Tough U.S. reserving rules and the effects of the financial crisis already are forcing insurers to increase term life prices, a reinsurer says.

In Times of Low Growth, Preservation is Key

LIMRA statistics indicate that life insurance sales have dropped across product lines, with a 23-percent drop in premium levels in the first half of 2009 compared to the same period a year earlier (U.S. Individual Life Insurance Sales Trends, Second Quarter 2009). Sales of higher margin and fee-based products, such as universal life and variable universal life, have suffered most, while term experienced only slight declines.

A.M. Best Special Report: Thawing Markets Reducing Pressure on U.K. Life Insurers

The global credit crisis led to a decline in life insurers’ economic capital positions in 2008, although the industry as a whole managed to maintain compliance with minimum regulatory capital requirements.

Swiss Re: US Life Quarterly (June 2009)

The L&H industry still faces a difficult environment after a year of heavy losses.

Insurance Industry Executives Expect Stronger 2010, But Remain Subdued on Underwriting Profit: KPMG Survey

Unemployment, regulatory intervention seen as largest barriers to economic recovery. M&A seen increasing despite capital issues: Insurance executives see their companies performing above general market expectations in 2010, but their outlook on the industry's ability to generate underwriting profit in the next one to three years remains restrained, according to an annual survey conducted by KPMG, the audit, tax and advisory firm.

2008 US Group Life 2008 Summary Report

2008 Mid-year summary, and 2006 and 2007 summary reports available as well at http://www.jhaweb.com/jsite/research/studies.aspx .

JHA: 2008 US Group Disability Market Survey

Summary report provided at the JHA site. Mid-year summary and 2008 Individual summary report available as well.

Prior years' (2006 and 2007) summaries available at http://www.jhaweb.com/jsite/research/studies.aspx.

Life Insurance Sales Nosedive, Worst Drop in 67 Years

Individual life insurance annualized premiums plunged 20% in the second quarter, according to LIMRA’s U.S. Individual Life Insurance Sales report. For the year to date, sales fell by 23%. In a statement, LIMRA senior analyst Ashley Durham called the drop-off the “steepest six-month decline since the second half of 1942.”

CSC Digital Trust for Life Project Report

A study released by the American Council of Life Insurers (ACLI) and CSC finds that life insurers are poised for additional enterprise payoffs based on their current approach and investments in IT security, but that capturing the payoffs requires an evolution from the gatekeeper model of security to a digital trust model.

U.S. Life Insurer Ratings Remain Under Pressure

The heat is still on for U.S. life insurers, and won't dissipate until some time next year, according to Fitch Ratings. The special report, "Mid-Year Update - U.S. Life Insurance Sector," asserts that the credit quality of U.S. life insurers continues to be negatively affected by the difficult conditions in the credit and equity markets and their impact on the industry's capital levels, earnings performance and liquidity position.

Will Fuzzy Accounting Changes Have Big Impact On Insurance IT?

In case you haven’t heard, there’s a big change in accounting standards getting ready to take place. Around about 2014, there will be “a single set of high-quality, understandable and International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) for general purpose financial statements.”

World insurance in 2008: life premiums fall in the industrialised countries - strong growth in the emerging economies

World insurance premium volume rose slightly to USD 4270 billion in 2008. However, adjusted for inflation, premiums declined by 2%. Global life premiums fell by 3.5% in 2008, mainly driven by a sharp fall in the sale of unit-linked and single premium life insurance products in the industrialised countries. Non-life premiums decreased by 0.8%.

Fitch Report: Statutory Capital Declines for Most U.S. Life Insurers

U.S. life insurers have experienced a significant deterioration in investment results in 2008, negatively affecting industry earnings and capital, as discussed in a Fitch Ratings report.

Life Insurance Mergers & Acquisition Activity May Heat Up Over the Next 12 Months, According to Towers Perrin Study

Findings indicate rebound after a year plagued by severe economic conditions; "protection" business seems the likeliest of candidates; CFOs indicate bleak first quarter outlook for premium, revenue and net income growth.

Buffett Says Life Insurers Took 'Crazy' Bets

Billionaire Warren Buffett on Sunday criticized some life insurers for taking on 'crazy' financial risks by selling variable annuities, or retirement products that promised unrealistic guarantees to buyers.

JHA Announces 2008 US Group Life and Disability Market Survey Results

JHA, a division of Gen Re LifeHealth, is pleased to release the results of the 2009 U.S. Group Life and Group Disability Mid-Year Market Surveys. These leading industry benchmark surveys cover Group Term Life (Basic Term Life and Voluntary Term Life), Short Term Disability (STD) and Long Term Disability (LTD) sales and earned premium for the first half of the year.

Moody's Strips Berkshire Hathaway Of Top Rating

Moody's Investors Service cut its credit ratings on Berkshire Hathaway Inc from Aaa, the top rating, saying the recession and investment losses at insurance operations of investor Warren Buffett's holding company reduced its ability to support funding needs.

Fitch: TARP for U.S. Life Insurers Positive for Financial Strength

Fitch Ratings believes that the possible inclusion of life insurers in the U.S. Treasury Department's Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) could be a positive development for those eligible life insurers and therefore could temper future downgrades if more capital pressure develops than anticipated in current ratings. Fitch believes that government funding would provide a source of financial flexibility not currently available in the capital markets for life insurers.

Market Conditions Affect Term Pricing

The current economic crisis is challenging life insurers to look closely at all of the products in their portfolio and make adjustments as necessary. While much of the focus is on variable annuities and universal life with secondary guarantees, the performance of term life is also affected by market upheaval.

In this issue of The Forecaster, Jim McArdle, Senior Vice President of Sales and Marketing at Transamerica Rinsurance, discusses the impact of current market conditions on term life insurance with Keith Dall, Principal at Milliman, Inc. Keith sees companies responding in a variety of ways – looking for new financing solutions, tightening underwriting guidelines, monitoring products and rates more closely and more.

The Aftermath of the Financial Crisis for Life Insurers

There are many predictions of how long the current global financial crisis and economic downturn will last. Some say the end of 2010, some say longer. In either case, Robert Kerzner, president and CEO of LIMRA International and LOMA, predicts the U.S. life insurance industry will look different when that time comes, according to an A.M. Best story. He says companies will have exited lines of business that are just too risky or hard to price, or be merged into or acquired by others.

If Q4 reports are any indication, Kerzner could be right. New annualized premium for individual life insurance saw a 14% drop in the fourth quarter of 2008, ending the year with an overall 7% decline, according to LIMRA’s quarterly sales survey.

SOA - 2008 Enterprise Risk Management Symposium

This monograph contains papers submitted and presented at the 2008 Enterprise Risk Management Symposium held April 14-16, 2008 in Chicago. It also includes additional research papers that were submitted and accepted for the 2008 ERM Symposium Call for Papers, but not presented. This was the third year in which a call for papers was issued in conjunction with the Symposium. The call for papers continues to showcase the latest in ERM thinking as well as present advances made in this arena.

SOA - 2008 Valuation Basic Table (VBT) Report & Tables

The VBT Team has completed their work on the 2008 VBT. The report below details this work and the values can be found in the accompanying appendices.

SOA - Preneed Insurance Mortality Study Report

The SOA's Preneed Experience Team is pleased to make available the following report by the Deloitte–UConn Actuarial Center examining preneed life insurance mortality experience. The report has been revised since its initial release to correct an error discovered in the Preneed Insurance Male Mortality Table per 1000. An Excel Spreadsheet of the Mortality Table shown in the report is also provided.

ACLI Life Insurers Fact Book 2008

The 2008 Fact Book provides statistics and information on trends in the life insurance industry. Specific topics covered include assets, liabilities, income, expenditures, reinsurance, life insurance, and annuities.

2009 Insurance outlook Far East: Ernst & Young

The expansion of western European and US insurance companies into Asia will continue but at a slower pace. Read more.

Towers Perrin Expert Series: How Is the Financial Crisis Impacting the Insurance Industry?

The insurance and financial services industry is at a crossroads. In the midst of the biggest financial crisis since the Great Depression, the combination of volatile economic conditions and a rapidly changing competitive landscape has many firms facing a challenging future.

As the situation continues to evolve, Towers Perrin experts offer their insights into the current state of the insurance industry, and how developments on Wall Street and around the world will impact insurers in both the short and long term.

What’s Next For AIG? - Companies/Financial - Life and Health Insurance News

The ultimate viability of American International Group’s currently healthy life insurance units is a race against time, according to industry analysts and AIG officials.

2008: The Value of Reinsurance Revisited

The life insurance industry enters 2009 facing an economic environment and a business outlook that are profoundly different from one short year ago. While every year presents catalysts for change, 2008 will go down as one of extreme, involuntary change as companies dealt with the suddenness and severity of the financial crisis. What is more, the traditional playbook does not appear to offer many options on how to manage through the challenges.

US life insurance industry outlook 2009: Ernst & Young

The US life insurance industry will be dealing with the multiple lingering after-effects of the global financial crisis and deepening recession.

In shifting sands: UK Life and Pensions outlook 2009: Ernst & Young

This paper seeks to leverage our knowledge, insight and industry experience to identify the key challenges for the insurance sector in 2009.

2009 Insurance outlook Europe: Ernst & Young

Financial services and insurance companies face enormous challenges in 2009 as they manage through the economic downturn and respond to market shifts and consumer expectations.

JHA Attendees Eye Group Life

The recession probably will hurt group life revenue, but whether the recession will increase the ratio of claims to premium revenue is unclear, said participants at a session on group life during the disability conference here.

Individual Long Term Care Insurance Premium Falls 23 Percent in the Fourth Quarter, LIMRA Reports

After a promising start in 2008, individual long-term care insurance (LTCI) premium fell 23 percent in the fourth quarter, ending 2008 down seven percent, according to LIMRA’s Individual Long-Term Care Sales survey.

Life insurers' £137bn debt pile revealed

The full extent of the exposure of British life assurers to the plummeting corporate bond market was revealed last night when industry expert Ned Cazalet said the sector had invested around £137bn in such debt, with roughly two-thirds of it in banks and financial companies.

LIMRA/McKinsey Study Reveals How Life Insurers Can Optimize Advisor Performance

A multi-faceted approach is the best way to enhance advisor performance, according to a major new study of distribution in the life insurance industry recently released by LIMRA and McKinsey & Company. The study, conducted in the fall of 2008, surveyed more than 1,200 advisors across a broad range of distribution channels to identify the challenges facing the industry and practical steps that carriers can take to enhance productivity and retention.

Pot, Meet Kettle? Goldman Sachs Bearish On U.S Life Insurance Sector

U.S. life insurers will see continued asset deterioration in the next 12 to 18 months and need to raise incremental capital, said a Goldman Sachs analyst last November, who assumed the sector coverage with a bearish view.

Hedging programs save insurers $40 billion during economic crisis

During the volatile months of September and October, the hedging programs developed to protect variable annuities (VAs) with guarantees were, based on an internal study, 93% effective, saving an estimated $40 billion in industry-wide assets for the insurance companies that write these products.

Importance of Pricing Discipline in Current Economic Environment

The life insurance industry continues to face pressures to deliver cheaper products and more services. These pressures come from several sources, including heightened competition from overcapacity in the marketplace, the demands of independent distribution channels and, not the least, expectations on Wall Street for ever growing revenues, says Transamerica Reinsurance President Paul Rutledge.

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